Question is: Are we really ahead of the 'savings' game?
In an email to Roberts shared with elpasonaturally (with permission to publish), PSB member, Dr. Rick Bonart, offers this bit of cold water in the face:
Chris,
I think you missed a couple of key points from Hutchinson's
presentation.
1. Importation of water isn't a done deal. Texas legislature
and courts haven't completely resolved the issue. As he stated (
and referenced in his book) our 50 year water plan is subordinate to water
district management. They will determine the number of wells and
the amount of water that can be pumped. As a policy maker it
makes me uncomfortable not to be in complete control here.
2. There is an ecosystem that exists between the river, the
fresh water in the bolsons, and the brackish water. Over pumping the bolsons
has drawn brackish water into some fresh water wells by the airport and taken
them out of production. You correctly reported the brackish wells along loop
375 have dual purpose: to provide water for the desal plant and to help
intercept the flow of salt in order to protect the fresh water
wells. That is theory. Furthermore, from his book . . . it’s not
clear what effect wholesale pumping of brackish water has
on aquifer recharge. Will industrial scale pumping slow aquifer recharge? It's
all interconnected. During the PSB strategic planning session last
year we agreed to do a chloride or solute model to (as proposed in his book) to
investigate. Results????
3. The 50 year plan calls for 28k acre feet of
reclaimed water use per year. That's extreme. The cost of production and
distribution are off the chart. Malcom Pirnie gave a presentation the same
day as Hutchinson. They came up with an effluent to potable water reuse
for 11k acre feet of water at Bustamante. The cost is $11M/ year. This
translates to $22 / CCF. Well water by comparison is about 37 cents.
4. You are correct the economics of water will be a limiting
factor before we run dry. We have more land than water. Where we develop and
how much we develop needs to be addressed in a water use budget. The 50 year
water plan details how much water we get for municipal use. It doesn't detail
how we use it. When you talk about smart homes and reducing per
capita water use below certain levels there is a point of diminishing
returns. When people use too little, the utility has to raise prices to
keep revenues up to pay for the system. The notion that conservation
will stave off water shortage is correct, but forcing people to third world
level water restrictions while incurring higher costs for water
will negatively impact our ability to attract industry as well as people’s
desire to live here.
5. Last year we used 114k acre feet of water. The 50 year
plan estimates we have about 140k acre feet locally. That's 26k to spare at the
regions current population. At 130gal/person/ day each 5% addition to the
region’ s population requires an additional 5 k acre feet. So we can add
about 175,000 more people by my calculation to importation. That's not a long
way off.
We're all in this together, it's not enough to just plan for
how much water we can get, but how we will use it. Sustainable low cost water
will be the economic and life sustaining common denominator for our
region.
Rick Bonart
By the way, here is the slide show from Hutchison's presentation to the PSB:
Click on title or icon on bottom right corner to enlarge.
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